Dr. Kevin Fenton, Director, National Center for HIV/AIDS,
Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, CDC (Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention) stresses the new estimates are not yet final, despite current media
reports about CDC's estimates of new HIV infections in the USA.
Dr. Fenton said "In recent years, CDC has worked to develop an innovative
system designed to estimate the number of new HIV infections in a given year.
As a result of new technology that can distinguish recent from longstanding
infections, the new system will provide the clearest picture to date of new HIV
infections in the United States. Given the importance of the new estimates in
guiding HIV prevention policy and programs, CDC's public health responsibility
is to ensure accurate information. The estimates have been submitted for
further analysis and rigorous scientific review to ensure the accuracy of the
complex new methods and of the estimates themselves."
Fenton went on the explain that the new estimates use complex methods based on
several statistical assumptions. Any kind of alteration to those assumptions
during the scientific review process will have an impact on the final
estimates. "It would not be responsible for CDC to discuss specific data
before we are certain that the new estimates are reliable."
The CDC takes seriously its commitment to providing an accurate and timely
picture of the HIV epidemic at home (in the USA), he added. Fenton said the CDC
is moving as quickly as possible to complete, confirm, and release these
important new estimates.
|