President George W Bush on Friday proposed some 140 billion dollars in
emergency tax relief to boost the flagging US economy and avoid a
recession, warning that the nation faces the "risk of a downturn."
Outlining his vision of an economic stimulus package, he urged
steps to spark consumer spending - the engine of the US economy - and
said the measures would have to be worth about 1 per cent of gross
domestic product to make an impact.
"We're in the midst of a challenging period, and I know that
Americans are concerned about their economic future," Bush said at the
White House. "But our economy has seen challenging times before, and it
is resilient."
Most likely, the package will include a one-time income tax rebate
to put more spending money in Americans' pockets. Bush said he is
confident he can reach a deal with Congress, where the opposition
Democrats hold the majority.
Democratic leaders welcomed Bush's announcement. US Senator Charles
Schumer, a leading Democratic spokesman on the economy, said the
stimulus package could take effect as early as March 1.
But in a sign of tough negotiations ahead, he said it should also
include higher government spending, such as temporarily extending the
time that jobless insurance benefits are paid.
"The president left out spending stimuli, and we hope that he will move to include them," Schumer told reporters.
The ailing economy risks clouding Bush's last year in the White
House before his term ends next January. Recession fears are rippling
into the 2008 presidential election campaign as Democratic and
Republican candidates jostle to present plans to bolster the economy.
Bush acknowledged that the economy is cooling because of slowing job creation, higher oil prices and a housing-market slump.
"And there is a risk of a downturn," he said. "Passing a new growth package is our most pressing economic priority."
His proposal focussed on tax relief for businesses and individuals
to spur investment and consumer spending. Consumer spending makes up
about two-thirds of the US economy, the world's largest.
Many experts believe the 14-trillion-dollar US economy is headed
for - or has already begun - a recession. The Bush administration
insists the country is headed only for slower growth, but Treasury
Secretary Henry Paulson acknowledged there was no easy fix.
"There are no silver bullets. There's nothing that is perfect," he told reporters.
Bush's remarks failed to stop the slide in US stocks, which opened
the day higher, then fell. At the same time, a key gauge of leading
economic indicators slipped by 0.2 per cent in December, the third drop
in as many months, according to the index published by the Conference
Board Friday.
The US economy grew at a nearly 5-per-cent annual rate in the third
quarter of 2007, but economists believe it slowed sharply in the last
three months of the year.
"A huge part of this is going to be speed, getting money out
quickly," Paulson said. The bulk of tax relief should be aimed at
consumers, he said.
A key goal is to dampen the fallout from the subprime mortgage
meltdown and the collapse of a home-price bubble that helped finance
consumer spending, which Paulson blamed on years of "unsustainable"
price rises in the real-estate market.
On Thursday, US Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke backed short- term government action to boost the economy.
Independently of the administration, the central bank is expected
to cut US interest rates further at its next decision meeting on
January 30. Lowering the cost of borrowing can spur investment and
consumer spending.
Bush had been expected to present his ideas for a stimulus package
in his January 28 State of the Union speech, but the Democratic-led
Congress stepped up calls for action while Bush was abroad on a Middle
East trip last week.
"We have an opportunity to do it sooner and the president sees no
reason to wait for" the annual policy speech, White House spokesman
Tony Fratto said.